Economy Neutral 5

UK's £100k tax trap to drag 2.5m more into 60% rate by 2031

For finance professionals, the UK's frozen £100,000 personal allowance taper creates a 60% effective marginal tax rate on income between £100,000 and £125,140. With the freeze locked in until 2031, an estimated 2.5 million more Britons could enter the trap, boosting Treasury revenue to over £52bn. Advisers should treat this as a planning cliff-edge, not a headline rate issue.

· 4 min read · Verified by 2 sources ·

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Finance briefing

Key takeaways

5 impact
Neutralsentiment
2sources
4min read
  1. For finance professionals, the UK's frozen £100,000 personal allowance taper creates a 60% effective marginal tax rate on income between £100,000 and £125,140.
  2. With the freeze locked in until 2031, an estimated 2.5 million more Britons could enter the trap, boosting Treasury revenue to over £52bn.
  3. Advisers should treat this as a planning cliff-edge, not a headline rate issue.
Drawn from
  • express.co.uk
  • aol.co.uk

In this briefing

Mentioned

Key Intelligence

Key Facts

  1. 1The UK tax-free personal allowance is frozen at £12,570 until 2031, as announced in the 2025 Autumn Budget.
  2. 2The effective marginal tax rate on income between £100,000 and £125,140 is 60% because the personal allowance is withdrawn by £1 for every £2 of adjusted net income above the threshold.
  3. 3IG Consumer estimates an extra 2.5 million Britons could be caught in the £100k tax trap by the early 2030s if the freeze remains unchanged.
  4. 4Had the £100,000 threshold risen with inflation, it would now stand at about £160,000 and would reach approximately £174,000 by 2031.
  5. 5The freeze has generated an estimated £29 billion for the Government to date, potentially rising above £52 billion by 2031.
  6. 6The £100,000 threshold has been frozen since 2010, according to IG Consumer chief executive Michael Healy.
Effective marginal tax rate £100k–£125,140
60% +40% vs basic rate

The personal allowance taper creates a 60% effective rate on every £2 above £100,000 until the allowance is fully withdrawn at £125,140.

Metric
Personal allowance £12,570 £12,570
Inflation-adjusted threshold if raised £160,000 £174,000
Additional Britons caught Estimated millions 2.5m extra
Cumulative Treasury gain from freeze £29bn £52bn

Analysis

For investors, financial planners, and high-earning professionals, the £100,000 threshold is a structural obstacle that turns a £10,000 bonus into a complex tax event. Every £2 of adjusted net income above £100,000 removes £1 of personal allowance, producing a 60% marginal rate until £125,140 — and that's before lost benefits and allowances. With the freeze set to run through 2031, modelling pension salary sacrifice and bonus deferral is now a core wealth-management task.

The UK's £100,000 tax trap is set to become a defining issue for upper-middle earners over the next five years after the Labour Government confirmed in the 2025 Autumn Budget that the tax-free personal allowance will remain at £12,570 until 2031. The trap is not a formal tax band but a taper: for every £2 of adjusted net income above £100,000, a taxpayer loses £1 of personal allowance. By £125,140, the entire allowance has been withdrawn. For a taxpayer already paying 40 per cent higher-rate income tax on that slice, the loss of allowance creates an effective marginal rate of 60 per cent on income between £100,000 and £125,140. That is before National Insurance, lost tax-free childcare, the personal savings allowance, or other means-tested benefits, meaning the true marginal cost of earning in that band can be even higher.

Every £2 of adjusted net income above £100,000 removes £1 of personal allowance, producing a 60% marginal rate until £125,140 — and that's before lost benefits and allowances.

The threshold has been frozen since 2010. Michael Healy, chief executive of IG Consumer, told Sky News that the threshold is becoming increasingly detached from reality, noting it has been frozen since Gordon Brown was Prime Minister. IG Consumer calculates that had the threshold risen with inflation, it would now stand at about £160,000 and reach roughly £174,000 by 2031. The result is fiscal drag: as wages grow, more middle-to-higher earners are pulled into the taper without any legislative tax increase. IG Consumer estimates an extra 2.5 million Britons could be inside the trap by the beginning of the next decade if the freeze is not reversed.

The freeze has already generated about £29 billion for the Exchequer, according to IG Consumer, and that figure could climb above £52 billion by 2031. A Treasury spokesperson defended the policy: "We are protecting payslips by keeping our promise not to raise income tax, national insurance or VAT. The personal allowance is reduced for those with incomes over £100,000 to ensure support is focused where it's most needed, including funding public services." This framing matters: the Government is not increasing headline rates, but it is allowing inflation to do the work through frozen thresholds—an economically substantial but politically quieter source of revenue.

The planning implications are acute. A worker on £110,000 who makes a £10,000 gross pension contribution can lower adjusted net income back under the £100,000 threshold, restoring the full personal allowance and avoiding the 60 per cent marginal zone. In practice, that pension contribution can attract tax relief of 60 per cent on the relevant slice, which makes pension funding unusually attractive for those earning between £100,000 and £125,140 — provided there is sufficient annual allowance and no tapering issues. Donations to charity under Gift Aid, salary-sacrifice arrangements, and timing bonus payments can also manage adjusted net income. For employers, salary sacrifice and bonus deferral are likely to become more prominent as the freeze persists.

What to Watch

Because the threshold is frozen through 2031, inflation and wage growth will determine how many additional households enter the trap. IG Consumer says it is highly unlikely the Government will raise the threshold within five years, given the revenue at stake. Yet by 2031 the number of affected taxpayers could be materially larger, raising the political salience of the issue. If inflation runs higher than expected, projections of £174,000 in inflation-adjusted terms will look even more distant from the actual £100,000 threshold, and the tax burden on middle-to-upper earners will rise further. The tension between the Treasury's revenue needs and increasingly strained household finances will likely define debates over personal taxation in the run-up to the 2031 expiration.

In the near term, advisers should treat the £100,000 threshold as a hard planning boundary rather than a simple top tax-band question. The combination of a 60 per cent effective rate, the loss of personal allowance, and the broader withdrawal of family-related benefits creates a complex marginal-rate spike that is easy to miss without tax modelling. The next five years will likely see more savers using pensions, charitable giving, and salary sacrifice to stay below the cliff edge, while the Treasury collects an increasingly large fiscal-drag dividend that it may find difficult to give up.

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Primary reporting

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Cite This Page

"UK's £100k tax trap to drag 2.5m more into 60% rate by 2031." Finance Intelligence Brief, September 7, 2026. https://getfinancebrief.com/story/uk-100k-tax-trap-2-5m-more-60-rate-2031

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