# Paul Samuelson

Type: Person

Source: Finance Intelligence Brief — https://getfinancebrief.com/entity/paul-samuelson
Canonical HTML page: https://getfinancebrief.com/entity/paul-samuelson

## Timeline

- **2026-09-16**: Fed hikes rates 25 bps — The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark rate by 0.25%, its first hike since 2023.
- **2026-09-15**: Oil tops $100 — Crude oil rose above $100 per barrel, adding to input-cost pressure.
- **2026-08**: Wholesale inflation accelerates — Wholesale prices rose 5.4% over the 12 months through August 2026.
- **2024-01-19**: S&P 500 reaches new high — The index hit a new high after recession fears for 2023 failed to materialize.
- **2022-10-12**: S&P 500 bear-market low — The S&P 500 closed at its 2022 low, falling 25.4% from Jan. 3 amid Federal Reserve rate hikes to combat inflation.
- **2022-01-03**: S&P 500 peak before bear market — The S&P 500 began a decline from its early January level that would total 25.4% by October.
- **1966**: Samuelson's recession quip — Economist Paul Samuelson famously joked that stocks have predicted nine of the last five recessions.

## Recent coverage (1 stories)

### Fed's First Hike Since 2023 Meets $100 Oil: 25.4% 2022 Selloff History
2026-09-21 03:15:08 · Sentiment: Neutral · Impact: 7/10 · Sources: 2

For investors, the 2026 inflation and rate shock is a live test of whether markets again overprice recession risk. History shows the S&P 500's 25.4% 2022 bear market reversed when the feared downturn never arrived.
Full story: https://getfinancebrief.com/story/fed-first-hike-2023-oil-100-history-selloff

---
This page is a machine-readable summary. Sentiment measures the directional read of each development for this entity, not the tone of the reporting; impact weights consequence, not syndication reach. See https://getfinancebrief.com/guides/methodology for the full editorial methodology.