Last mentioned: 1d ago
Supreme Court Ruling
The SCOTUS declares the sweeping tariff program illegal and unconstitutional.
Market Reaction
Prediction market operators signal intent to maintain operations in contested states following federal support.
CFTC Intervention
Chairman Selig publishes an op-ed asserting exclusive CFTC jurisdiction over prediction markets.
State Legal Surge
Nevada and other states intensify legal actions to ban Kalshi and Polymarket as illegal gambling.
Administration Change
Trump administration takes office; Michael Selig is later appointed as CFTC Chairman.
Appeals Court Ruling
The appellate court upholds the tariffs, prompting an emergency appeal to the Supreme Court.
Legal Challenge Begins
A coalition of trade groups and importers files suit in the Court of International Trade.
Tariffs Imposed
The administration announces sweeping new tariffs on a wide range of industrial and consumer goods.
President Trump has announced an immediate increase in universal baseline tariffs from 10% to 15%, marking a sharp escalation in his administration's protectionist agenda. The move, effective immediately, is accompanied by warnings of further legally permissible adjustments in the coming months, triggering concerns over inflationary pressure.
The U.S. Supreme Court has issued a landmark ruling declaring the Trump administration's broad tariff program illegal, citing an unconstitutional overreach of executive power. The decision is expected to provide immediate cost relief to U.S. importers while forcing a massive recalibration of global trade strategy.
The Trump administration, through the CFTC, has formally backed prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket, challenging state-level attempts to ban the platforms as illegal gambling. CFTC Chairman Michael Selig is asserting exclusive federal jurisdiction, a move that could fundamentally reshape the regulatory landscape for sports betting and event-based derivatives.